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Puebla vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXWed, 16 Sept 2026

Puebla

14th in table · 16 pts

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Wed, 16 Sept 202602:00

0 : 1

Full time

Toluca

5th in table · 23 pts

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Pre-match win probability

16.4%Puebla20.9%Draw62.7%Toluca

Our prediction

Away · Puebla

Puebla vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Puebla 16.4%
  • Draw 20.9%
  • Toluca 62.7%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

PueblaToluca
Wins
46
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Puebla0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Toluca0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headPuebla 1W · 4D · Toluca 4W · 2.4 goals a game
      • 31 JanPuebla0 – 0Toluca
      • 14 SeptToluca3 – 1Puebla
      • 15 MarPuebla0 – 3Toluca
      • 23 OctToluca5 – 0Puebla
      • 27 JanPuebla1 – 1Toluca
      • 1 NovToluca0 – 1Puebla

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
      1.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
      2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
      3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7%
      No44.3%

      Double chance

      1X32.4%
      X267.6%

      Match result

      Puebla5.75
      Draw4.5
      Toluca1.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7% · 1.67
      No44.3% · 2.1

      1X

      Chance32.4%
      Odds2.38

      X2

      Chance67.6%
      Odds1.14

      Puebla

      Chance16.4%
      Odds5.75

      Draw

      Chance20.9%
      Odds4.5

      Toluca

      Chance62.7%
      Odds1.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away at 1.5

      PueblaToluca
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head33%67%
      Overall21%79%

      Puebla vs Toluca: prediction & preview

      Mexico · Liga MX · Wed, 16 Sept 2026

      Puebla meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 16 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Puebla vs Toluca FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Puebla vs Toluca?

      Kickoff is 02:00 on 16 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Puebla vs Toluca?

      Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.7%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.