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Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 10 Dec 2025

Qarabag

Wed, 10 Dec 202518:45

2 : 4

Full time

Ajax

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Qarabag24.6%Draw30.9%Ajax

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Qarabag

Qarabag vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Qarabag 44.5%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Ajax 30.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

QarabagAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Qarabag2.15
Draw3.9
Ajax3.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Qarabag

Chance44.5%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.9

Ajax

Chance30.9%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 2.15

QarabagAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Qarabag vs Ajax: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 10 Dec 2025

Qarabag meet Ajax in the World, UEFA Champions League on 10 December 2025 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Qarabag vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is Qarabag vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 10 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Qarabag vs Ajax?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Qarabag vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats