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Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaSat, 17 Oct 2026

Qarabag

WWDWW

Sat, 17 Oct 202616:00

3 : 3

Full time

Neftchi Baku

DWWWL

Pre-match win probability

50.2%Qarabag26.6%Draw23.2%Neftchi Baku

Our prediction

1X · Qarabag

Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence50.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Qarabag 50.2%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Neftchi Baku 23.2%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

QarabagNeftchi Baku

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

Qarabag1.8
Draw3.4
Neftchi Baku3.9

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

Qarabag

Chance50.2%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.4

Neftchi Baku

Chance23.2%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

QarabagNeftchi Baku
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Qarabag meet Neftchi Baku in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku FAQs

4 questions

What time is Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku prediction, H2H and stats