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Qarabag vs Safa Baku Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaFri, 18 Sept 2026

Qarabag

Fri, 18 Sept 202616:45

1 : 0

Full time

Safa Baku

Pre-match win probability

80.7%Qarabag13.1%Draw6.1%Safa Baku

Our prediction

Qarabag

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.14
Confidence80.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Qarabag 80.7%
  • Draw 13.1%
  • Safa Baku 6.1%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

QarabagSafa Baku

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.3% · 23
1.5 goals28.5% · 1.084.4% · 7
2.5 goals23.1% · 1.339.5% · 3.25
3.5 goals17.1% · 1.816.1% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

X2100%

Match result

Qarabag1.14
Draw7
Safa Baku15

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

X2

Chance100%
Odds6.5

Qarabag

Chance80.7%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance13.1%
Odds7

Safa Baku

Chance6.1%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Qarabag at 1.14

QarabagSafa Baku
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall93%7%

Qarabag vs Safa Baku: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Fri, 18 Sept 2026

Qarabag meet Safa Baku in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 18 September 2026 at 16:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 80.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Qarabag vs Safa Baku FAQs

4 questions

What time is Qarabag vs Safa Baku?

Kickoff is 16:45 on 18 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Qarabag vs Safa Baku?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 80.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Qarabag vs Safa Baku prediction, H2H and stats