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Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaMon, 17 Aug 2026

Qarabag

Mon, 17 Aug 202616:30

3 : 1

Full time

Şamaxı FK

Pre-match win probability

66.1%Qarabag18.9%Draw15%Şamaxı FK

Our prediction

Home · Qarabag

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence66.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Qarabag 66.1%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Şamaxı FK 15%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

QarabagŞamaxı FK

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

Qarabag1.36
Draw4.75
Şamaxı FK6

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

Qarabag

Chance66.1%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds4.75

Şamaxı FK

Chance15%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.36

QarabagŞamaxı FK
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Mon, 17 Aug 2026

Qarabag meet Şamaxı FK in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 17 August 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK FAQs

4 questions

What time is Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 17 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK prediction, H2H and stats