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QPR vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 25 Apr 2026

QPR

LLDDW

Sat, 25 Apr 202615:00

2 : 3

Full time

Derby

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

31.9%QPR27.5%Draw40.6%Derby

Our prediction

Draw · QPR

QPR vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • QPR 31.9%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Derby 40.6%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

QPRDerby

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

QPR0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
      1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
      2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
      3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

      Both teams to score

      Yes53.6%
      No46.4%

      Double chance

      1X45.6%
      X254.4%

      Match result

      QPR2.8
      Draw3.25
      Derby2.2

      Both teams to score

      Yes53.6% · 1.73
      No46.4% · 2

      1X

      Chance45.6%
      Odds1.62

      X2

      Chance54.4%
      Odds1.36

      QPR

      Chance31.9%
      Odds2.8

      Draw

      Chance27.5%
      Odds3.25

      Derby

      Chance40.6%
      Odds2.2

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Draw at 3.25

      QPRDerby
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall44%56%

      QPR vs Derby: prediction & preview

      England · Championship · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

      QPR meet Derby in the England, Championship on 25 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      QPR vs Derby FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is QPR vs Derby?

      Kickoff is 15:00 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on QPR vs Derby?

      Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.