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QPR vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026

QPR

DDDDL

Wed, 14 Oct 202619:45

4 : 1

Full time

Derby

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

55.8%QPR24.5%Draw19.6%Derby

Our prediction

Home or Draw · QPR

QPR vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence55.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • QPR 55.8%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Derby 19.6%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

QPRDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

QPR1.67
Draw3.8
Derby4.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

QPR

Chance55.8%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds3.8

Derby

Chance19.6%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

QPRDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

QPR vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

QPR meet Derby in the England, Championship on 14 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is QPR at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

QPR vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is QPR vs Derby?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on QPR vs Derby?

QPR is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

QPR vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats