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Racing Ferrol vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 7 Feb 2026

Racing Ferrol

12th in table · 49 pts

LWWWL

Sat, 7 Feb 202616:15

1 : 1

Full time

Lugo

9th in table · 53 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

43.1%Racing Ferrol32.4%Draw24.5%Lugo

Our prediction

Away · Racing Ferrol

Racing Ferrol vs Lugo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.7
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Racing Ferrol 43.1%
  • Draw 32.4%
  • Lugo 24.5%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Racing FerrolLugo
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–
Wins
1313
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Racing Ferrol5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctMirandes2 – 0Racing FerrolL
  • 17 OctRacing Ferrol1 – 0Unionistas de SalamancaW
  • 10 OctDeportivo La Coruña II0 – 1Racing FerrolW
  • 3 OctRacing Ferrol2 – 0PontevedraW
  • 26 SeptLugo1 – 0Racing FerrolL
Lugo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
    1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
    2.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36
    3.5 goals4.7% · 520.5% · 1.14

    Both teams to score

    Yes35.5%
    No64.5%

    Double chance

    1X56.7%
    X243.3%

    Match result

    Racing Ferrol2.1
    Draw2.8
    Lugo3.7

    Both teams to score

    Yes35.5% · 2.62
    No64.5% · 1.44

    1X

    Chance56.7%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance43.3%
    Odds1.6

    Racing Ferrol

    Chance43.1%
    Odds2.1

    Draw

    Chance32.4%
    Odds2.8

    Lugo

    Chance24.5%
    Odds3.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 3.7

    Racing FerrolLugo
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall64%36%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Racing Ferrol scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Racing Ferrol conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Racing Ferrol vs Lugo: prediction & preview

    Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 7 Feb 2026

    Racing Ferrol meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 7 February 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Racing Ferrol at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Racing Ferrol vs Lugo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?

    Kickoff is 16:15 on 7 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?

    Racing Ferrol is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 3 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.