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Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 12 Jul 2026

Racing Montevideo

DDDWL

Sun, 12 Jul 202622:30

1 : 1

Full time

Penarol

WLLWD

Pre-match win probability

30.8%Racing Montevideo29.8%Draw39.3%Penarol

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence39.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Racing Montevideo 30.8%
  • Draw 29.8%
  • Penarol 39.3%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Racing MontevideoPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Racing Montevideo3
Draw3.1
Penarol2.35

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Racing Montevideo

Chance30.8%
Odds3

Draw

Chance29.8%
Odds3.1

Penarol

Chance39.3%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

Racing MontevideoPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 12 Jul 2026

Racing Montevideo meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Primera División on 12 July 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 12 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats