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Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 4 Oct 2026

Racing Montevideo

Sun, 4 Oct 202623:30

0 : 0

Live

Penarol

Pre-match win probability

25.5%Racing Montevideo29.8%Draw44.7%Penarol

Our prediction

Penarol

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Racing Montevideo 25.5%
  • Draw 29.8%
  • Penarol 44.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Racing MontevideoPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.4% · 1.53
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X43.8%
X256.2%

Match result

Racing Montevideo3.5
Draw3
Penarol2

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

Racing Montevideo

Chance25.5%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance29.8%
Odds3

Penarol

Chance44.7%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penarol at 2

Racing MontevideoPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Racing Montevideo meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Primera División on 4 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats