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Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 26 Oct 2025

Rayo Vallecano

8th in table · 50 pts

WDDLW

Sun, 26 Oct 202521:00

1 : 0

Full time

Alaves

14th in table · 43 pts

Pre-match win probability

44.9%Rayo Vallecano30.7%Draw24.4%Alaves

Our prediction

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.19
Confidence44.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 44.9%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Alaves 24.4%

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoAlaves
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.2–
Wins
1211
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rayo Vallecano3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 27 OctRecreativo Huelva2 – 3Rayo VallecanoW
  • 24 OctRayo Vallecano0 – 3ElcheL
  • 19 OctGetafe1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 1EspanyolW
Alaves0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headRayo Vallecano 5W · 1D · Alaves 3W · 1.8 goals a game
    • 20 AugRayo Vallecano1 – 1Alaves
    • 23 MayAlaves1 – 2Rayo Vallecano
    • 14 JanAlaves2 – 0Rayo Vallecano
    • 29 MarAlaves0 – 2Rayo Vallecano
    • 26 OctRayo Vallecano1 – 0Alaves
    • 10 MarAlaves1 – 0Rayo Vallecano

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22% · 1.063.7% · 6.3
    1.5 goals15.9% · 1.479.4% · 2.48
    2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6314.9% · 1.57
    3.5 goals4.9% · 4.820.5% · 1.14

    Both teams to score

    Yes44%
    No56%

    Double chance

    1X57.6%
    X242.4%

    Match result

    Rayo Vallecano2.19
    Draw3.2
    Alaves4.03

    Both teams to score

    Yes44% · 2.11
    No56% · 1.66

    1X

    Chance57.6%
    Odds1.29

    X2

    Chance42.4%
    Odds1.75

    Rayo Vallecano

    Chance44.9%
    Odds2.19

    Draw

    Chance30.7%
    Odds3.2

    Alaves

    Chance24.4%
    Odds4.03

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Rayo Vallecano at 2.19

    Rayo VallecanoAlaves
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence44%56%
    Goals model62%38%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall65%35%

    Trends

    Trend · La Liga

    Rayo Vallecano scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Rayo Vallecano conceded 2.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

    Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: prediction & preview

    Spain · La Liga · Sun, 26 Oct 2025

    Rayo Vallecano meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 26 October 2025 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 2.19. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 62.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.66.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?

    Kickoff is 21:00 on 26 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?

    Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.19. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.63 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.11. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.