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Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaThu, 20 Aug 2026

Rayo Vallecano

Thu, 20 Aug 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Alaves

Pre-match win probability

40%Rayo Vallecano30.7%Draw29.3%Alaves

Our prediction

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 40%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Alaves 29.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoAlaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano2.38
Draw3.1
Alaves3.25

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Rayo Vallecano

Chance40%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Alaves

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Rayo Vallecano at 2.38

Rayo VallecanoAlaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Thu, 20 Aug 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 20 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves prediction, H2H and stats