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Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 15 Feb 2026

Rayo Vallecano

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Sun, 15 Feb 202616:15

3 : 0

Full time

Atletico Madrid

WLWDL

Pre-match win probability

21.1%Rayo Vallecano26.3%Draw52.6%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 21.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Atletico Madrid 52.6%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.3% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X37.7%
X262.3%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano4.5
Draw3.6
Atletico Madrid1.8

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance37.7%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance62.3%
Odds1.18

Rayo Vallecano

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Atletico Madrid

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.18

Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 15 February 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats