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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 26 Apr 2026

Rayo Vallecano

WLLWW

Sun, 26 Apr 202613:00

3 : 3

Full time

Real Sociedad

LDDWL

Pre-match win probability

33%Rayo Vallecano29.7%Draw37.3%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 33%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Real Sociedad 37.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano2.88
Draw3.2
Real Sociedad2.55

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Rayo Vallecano

Chance33%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Real Sociedad

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, La Liga on 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Sociedad at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats