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RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 9 May 2026

RB Leipzig

LWWWW

Sat, 9 May 202614:30

2 : 1

Full time

FC St. Pauli

LLDLD

Pre-match win probability

73%RB Leipzig16.5%Draw10.5%FC St. Pauli

Our prediction

Home · RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence73%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • RB Leipzig 73%
  • Draw 16.5%
  • FC St. Pauli 10.5%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

RB LeipzigFC St. Pauli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X74.7%
X225.3%

Match result

RB Leipzig1.3
Draw5.75
FC St. Pauli9

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance74.7%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance25.3%
Odds3.25

RB Leipzig

Chance73%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance16.5%
Odds5.75

FC St. Pauli

Chance10.5%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.3

RB LeipzigFC St. Pauli
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall87%13%

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 9 May 2026

RB Leipzig meet FC St. Pauli in the Germany, Bundesliga on 9 May 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is RB Leipzig at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli FAQs

4 questions

What time is RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?

RB Leipzig is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 73%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli prediction, H2H and stats