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Real Avilés vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 25 Jan 2026

Real Avilés

14th in table · 44 pts

DLWWL

Sun, 25 Jan 202618:15

1 : 2

Full time

Lugo

9th in table · 53 pts

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

38.1%Real Avilés31.1%Draw30.9%Lugo

Our prediction

Away · Real Avilés

Real Avilés vs Lugo listed tip from the board.

Odds2.9
Confidence38.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Avilés 38.1%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Lugo 30.9%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real AvilésLugo
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.50.8
Wins
1113
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Avilés4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctReal Avilés1 – 3UD LogroñésL
  • 18 OctReal Avilés3 – 0UD OurenseW
  • 11 OctPonferradina0 – 2Real AvilésW
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2LugoL
  • 27 SeptBarakaldo3 – 3Real AvilésD
Lugo8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 23 OctReal Unión4 – 1LugoL
  • 17 OctLugo3 – 0Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 12 OctLugo3 – 1UD LogroñésW
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2LugoW
  • 26 SeptLugo1 – 0Racing FerrolW
H2H
Head to headReal Avilés 1W · 1D · Lugo 1W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2Lugo
  • 6 SeptLugo0 – 0Real Avilés
  • 19 AugReal Avilés1 – 0Lugo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.5% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.5% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Real Avilés2.35
Draw2.88
Lugo2.9

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.5

Real Avilés

Chance38.1%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Lugo

Chance30.9%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.9

Real AvilésLugo
Recent form36%64%
Attack53%47%
Defence41%59%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Real Avilés vs Lugo: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 25 Jan 2026

Real Avilés meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 25 January 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Avilés at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Avilés vs Lugo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Avilés vs Lugo?

Kickoff is 18:15 on 25 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Avilés vs Lugo?

Real Avilés is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.