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Real Avilés vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Fri, 2 Oct 2026

Real Avilés

14th in table · 11 pts

Fri, 2 Oct 202618:00

1 : 2

Full time

Lugo

1st in table · 22 pts

Pre-match win probability

40.4%Real Avilés28.7%Draw30.9%Lugo

Our prediction

Real Avilés

Real Avilés is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence40.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Avilés 40.4%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Lugo 30.9%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Real AvilésLugo
Wins
37
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Avilés0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Lugo0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headReal Avilés 1W · 1D · Lugo 1W · 1.3 goals a game
      • 25 JanReal Avilés1 – 2Lugo
      • 6 SeptLugo0 – 0Real Avilés
      • 19 AugReal Avilés1 – 0Lugo

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
      1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
      2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
      3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5%
      No48.5%

      Double chance

      1X57.6%
      X242.4%

      Match result

      Real Avilés2.2
      Draw3.1
      Lugo2.88

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5% · 1.8
      No48.5% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance57.6%
      Odds1.25

      X2

      Chance42.4%
      Odds1.7

      Real Avilés

      Chance40.4%
      Odds2.2

      Draw

      Chance28.7%
      Odds3.1

      Lugo

      Chance30.9%
      Odds2.88

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Real Avilés at 2.2

      Real AvilésLugo
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head50%50%
      Overall57%43%

      Real Avilés vs Lugo: prediction & preview

      Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Fri, 2 Oct 2026

      Real Avilés meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 2 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Avilés at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Real Avilés vs Lugo FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Real Avilés vs Lugo?

      Kickoff is 18:00 on 2 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Real Avilés vs Lugo?

      Real Avilés is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.