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Real Avilés vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Real Avilés

LWLLW

Sat, 31 Jan 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Mérida AD

DDWLL

Pre-match win probability

38.6%Real Avilés29.6%Draw31.7%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Draw · Real Avilés

Real Avilés vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence38.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Avilés 38.6%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Mérida AD 31.7%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Real AvilésMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.4% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X53%
X247%

Match result

Real Avilés2.3
Draw3
Mérida AD2.8

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance53%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance47%
Odds1.5

Real Avilés

Chance38.6%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3

Mérida AD

Chance31.7%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3

Real AvilésMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Real Avilés vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Real Avilés meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 31 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Avilés at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Avilés vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Avilés vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Avilés vs Mérida AD?

Real Avilés is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Avilés vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats