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Real Avilés vs UD Ourense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Real Avilés

WLDDW

Sun, 18 Oct 202617:15

3 : 0

Full time

UD Ourense

WDDLL

Pre-match win probability

49.4%Real Avilés26.9%Draw23.7%UD Ourense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Real Avilés

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence49.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Avilés 49.4%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • UD Ourense 23.7%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Real AvilésUD Ourense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Real Avilés1.8
Draw3.3
UD Ourense3.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.83

Real Avilés

Chance49.4%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.3

UD Ourense

Chance23.7%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

Real AvilésUD Ourense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Real Avilés meet UD Ourense in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 18 October 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Avilés at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?

Real Avilés is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense prediction, H2H and stats