Real Cartagena vs Popayan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera BSun, 4 Oct 2026

Real Cartagena

DDDWD

Sun, 4 Oct 202602:20

2 : 3

Full time

Popayan

Pre-match win probability

64.3%Real Cartagena20.7%Draw14.9%Popayan

Our prediction

Real Cartagena

Real Cartagena is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.45
Confidence64.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Cartagena 64.3%
  • Draw 20.7%
  • Popayan 14.9%

Season statistics

Primera B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real CartagenaPopayan
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Cartagena2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctBarranquilla1 – 1Real CartagenaD
  • 20 OctReal Cartagena3 – 0PatriotasW
  • 16 OctQuindio1 – 1Real CartagenaD
  • 8 OctDepor FC2 – 2Real CartagenaD
  • 30 SeptUnion Magdalena1 – 1Real CartagenaD
Popayan0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headReal Cartagena 4W · 4D · Popayan 1W · 2.7 goals a game
    • 27 MarPopayan1 – 1Real Cartagena
    • 24 NovPopayan0 – 0Real Cartagena
    • 1 NovReal Cartagena1 – 1Popayan
    • 8 AugPopayan2 – 2Real Cartagena
    • 2 MarReal Cartagena3 – 2Popayan
    • 21 AugPopayan1 – 4Real Cartagena

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals53.9% · 1.7546.1% · 2.05

    Double chance

    1X71.2%
    X228.8%

    Match result

    Real Cartagena1.45
    Draw4.5
    Popayan6.25

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance71.2%
    Odds1.11

    X2

    Chance28.8%
    Odds2.75

    Real Cartagena

    Chance64.3%
    Odds1.45

    Draw

    Chance20.7%
    Odds4.5

    Popayan

    Chance14.9%
    Odds6.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Real Cartagena at 1.45

    Real CartagenaPopayan
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model52%48%
    Head-to-head67%33%
    Overall81%19%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera B

    Real Cartagena scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera B

    Real Cartagena conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera B

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera B

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Real Cartagena vs Popayan: prediction & preview

    Colombia · Primera B · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

    Real Cartagena meet Popayan in the Colombia, Primera B on 4 October 2026 at 02:20 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Cartagena at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Real Cartagena vs Popayan FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

    Kickoff is 02:20 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

    Real Cartagena is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.