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Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Real Jaén

DWDLL

Sun, 18 Jan 202618:00

4 : 2

Full time

Lorca Deportiva

LWDLL

Pre-match win probability

47.6%Real Jaén28.3%Draw24.1%Lorca Deportiva

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Real Jaén

Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence47.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Jaén 47.6%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Lorca Deportiva 24.1%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · highlighted side is stronger

Real JaénLorca Deportiva

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals35.5% · 2.6264.5% · 1.44

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Real Jaén1.9
Draw3.2
Lorca Deportiva3.75

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.8

Real Jaén

Chance47.6%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.2

Lorca Deportiva

Chance24.1%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

Real JaénLorca Deportiva
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Real Jaén meet Lorca Deportiva in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 18 January 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Jaén at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva?

Real Jaén is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva prediction, H2H and stats