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Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Real Madrid II

LWLWD

Sun, 18 Jan 202618:15

1 : 1

Full time

Mérida AD

WLLLW

Pre-match win probability

48.2%Real Madrid II27%Draw24.8%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Draw · Real Madrid II

Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence48.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid II 48.2%
  • Draw 27%
  • Mérida AD 24.8%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Real Madrid IIMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Real Madrid II1.85
Draw3.3
Mérida AD3.6

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Real Madrid II

Chance48.2%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.3

Mérida AD

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.3

Real Madrid IIMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Real Madrid II meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 18 January 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid II at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 18:15 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD?

Real Madrid II is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats