Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaTue, 21 Apr 2026

Real Madrid

LDLLW

Tue, 21 Apr 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Alaves

DDWDL

Pre-match win probability

75.4%Real Madrid15.1%Draw9.5%Alaves

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Alaves listed tip from the board.

Odds1.05
Confidence75.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 75.4%
  • Draw 15.1%
  • Alaves 9.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridAlaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Real Madrid1.2
Draw6
Alaves9.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Real Madrid

Chance75.4%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance15.1%
Odds6

Alaves

Chance9.5%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.05

Real MadridAlaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall89%11%

Real Madrid vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Tue, 21 Apr 2026

Real Madrid meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 21 April 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Alaves?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 21 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Alaves?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction, H2H and stats