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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 22 Mar 2026

Real Madrid

WWWWL

Sun, 22 Mar 202621:00

3 : 2

Full time

Atletico Madrid

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

51.9%Real Madrid23.2%Draw25%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Home · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence51.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 51.9%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Atletico Madrid 25%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Real Madrid1.83
Draw4.1
Atletico Madrid3.8

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

Real Madrid

Chance51.9%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

Atletico Madrid

Chance25%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.83

Real MadridAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Real Madrid meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 22 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats