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Real Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 7 Apr 2026

Real Madrid

LWWWW

Tue, 7 Apr 202620:00

1 : 2

Full time

Bayern München

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

36.3%Real Madrid23.2%Draw40.5%Bayern München

Our prediction

Draw · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Bayern München listed tip from the board.

Odds4.1
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 36.3%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Bayern München 40.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridBayern München

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals22.1% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes72.3%
No27.7%

Double chance

1X48.9%
X251.1%

Match result

Real Madrid2.62
Draw4.1
Bayern München2.35

Both teams to score

Yes72.3% · 1.3
No27.7% · 3.4

1X

Chance48.9%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance51.1%
Odds1.5

Real Madrid

Chance36.3%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

Bayern München

Chance40.5%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.1

Real MadridBayern München
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Real Madrid vs Bayern München: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 7 Apr 2026

Real Madrid meet Bayern München in the World, UEFA Champions League on 7 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayern München at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.3.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Bayern München FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Bayern München?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 7 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.3. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Bayern München prediction, H2H and stats