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Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies ClubsSat, 1 Aug 2026

Real Madrid

Sat, 1 Aug 202617:00

2 : 2

Full time

Fiorentina

Pre-match win probability

51.1%Real Madrid21.9%Draw27%Fiorentina

Our prediction

BTTS Yes · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Fiorentina listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence51.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 51.1%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • Fiorentina 27%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridFiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.5% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.4% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Real Madrid1.8
Draw4.2
Fiorentina3.4

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.8

Real Madrid

Chance51.1%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.2

Fiorentina

Chance27%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BTTS Yes at 1.8

Real MadridFiorentina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Real Madrid vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Sat, 1 Aug 2026

Real Madrid meet Fiorentina in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 1 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Fiorentina prediction, H2H and stats