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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 1 Feb 2026

Real Madrid

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Sun, 1 Feb 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

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Pre-match win probability

79.1%Real Madrid13.6%Draw7.3%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

Home · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence79.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 79.1%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • Rayo Vallecano 7.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridRayo Vallecano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.3% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X80.6%
X219.4%

Match result

Real Madrid1.2
Draw7
Rayo Vallecano13

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance80.6%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance19.4%
Odds4.33

Real Madrid

Chance79.1%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Rayo Vallecano

Chance7.3%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.2

Real MadridRayo Vallecano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall92%8%

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 1 Feb 2026

Real Madrid meet Rayo Vallecano in the Spain, La Liga on 1 February 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 1 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, H2H and stats