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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 21 Oct 2026

Real Madrid

Wed, 21 Oct 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

RB Leipzig

Pre-match win probability

77.8%Real Madrid13.6%Draw8.6%RB Leipzig

Our prediction

Real Madrid

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 77.8%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • RB Leipzig 8.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridRB Leipzig

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%0.9% · 34
1.5 goals29.9% · 1.052.9% · 11
2.5 goals26.8% · 1.176.3% · 5
3.5 goals21.8% · 1.4411.4% · 2.75

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Real Madrid1.22
Draw7
RB Leipzig11

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Real Madrid

Chance77.8%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

RB Leipzig

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Real Madrid at 1.22

Real MadridRB Leipzig
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Real Madrid meet RB Leipzig in the World, UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.17, about 81% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 21 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.17 and under 2.5 is 5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction, H2H and stats