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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaWed, 26 Aug 2026

Real Madrid

Wed, 26 Aug 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Real Sociedad

Pre-match win probability

80.1%Real Madrid12.6%Draw7.3%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Real Madrid

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.18
Confidence80.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 80.1%
  • Draw 12.6%
  • Real Sociedad 7.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.6% · 1.367.5% · 3.2
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Real Madrid1.18
Draw7.5
Real Sociedad13

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Real Madrid

Chance80.1%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance12.6%
Odds7.5

Real Sociedad

Chance7.3%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Real Madrid at 1.18

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall92%8%

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 26 Aug 2026

Real Madrid meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, La Liga on 26 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 80.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 26 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 80.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats