Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026

Real Madrid

WWLWW

Sun, 18 Oct 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Sevilla

DLLWW

Pre-match win probability

76.3%Real Madrid13.6%Draw10%Sevilla

Our prediction

Home · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Sevilla listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence76.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 76.3%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • Sevilla 10%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridSevilla

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X77.8%
X222.2%

Match result

Real Madrid1.25
Draw7
Sevilla9.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance77.8%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance22.2%
Odds3.75

Real Madrid

Chance76.3%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Sevilla

Chance10%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.25

Real MadridSevilla
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Real Madrid meet Sevilla in the Spain, La Liga on 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 76.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction, H2H and stats