Get Premium

Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera B MetropolitanaThu, 5 Mar 2026

Real Pilar

WLW

Thu, 5 Mar 202600:30

1 : 3

Full time

Deportivo Merlo

LDDWL

Pre-match win probability

49.4%Real Pilar30.9%Draw19.8%Deportivo Merlo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Real Pilar

Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence49.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Pilar 49.4%
  • Draw 30.9%
  • Deportivo Merlo 19.8%

Season statistics

Primera B Metropolitana · highlighted side is stronger

Real PilarDeportivo Merlo
Goals scored (avg)
–0.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Pilar0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Deportivo Merlo2W 3D 5L in last 10
    • 24 OctArgentino de Merlo1 – 0Deportivo MerloL
    • 17 OctDeportivo Merlo2 – 1Talleres RemediosW
    • 10 OctDeportivo Laferrere1 – 1Deportivo MerloD
    • 5 OctDeportivo Merlo0 – 0Brown DE AdrogueD
    • 26 SeptDeportivo Armenio1 – 0Deportivo MerloL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.7% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
    1.5 goals14.8% · 1.5710.3% · 2.25
    2.5 goals8.4% · 2.7516.6% · 1.4
    3.5 goals4.2% · 5.520.7% · 1.12

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5%
    No62.5%

    Double chance

    1X62%
    X238%

    Match result

    Real Pilar1.8
    Draw2.88
    Deportivo Merlo4.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5% · 2.5
    No62.5% · 1.5

    1X

    Chance62%
    Odds1.12

    X2

    Chance38%
    Odds1.83

    Real Pilar

    Chance49.4%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance30.9%
    Odds2.88

    Deportivo Merlo

    Chance19.8%
    Odds4.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

    Real PilarDeportivo Merlo
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model63%37%
    Overall71%29%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera B Metropolitana

    Deportivo Merlo scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera B Metropolitana

    Deportivo Merlo conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera B Metropolitana

    Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera B Metropolitana

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo: prediction & preview

    Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Thu, 5 Mar 2026

    Real Pilar meet Deportivo Merlo in the Argentina, Primera B Metropolitana on 5 March 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Pilar at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo?

    Kickoff is 00:30 on 5 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo?

    Real Pilar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo prediction, H2H and stats