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Real Sociedad II vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónMon, 16 Feb 2026

Real Sociedad II

15th in table · 47 pts

WWDLW

Mon, 16 Feb 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Malaga

4th in table · 73 pts

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Real Sociedad II28.8%Draw40.5%Malaga

Our prediction

Draw · Real Sociedad II

Real Sociedad II vs Malaga listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad II 30.7%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Malaga 40.5%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

Real Sociedad IIMalaga
Goals scored (avg)
–1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.7
Wins
1221
Played
4242

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Sociedad II0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Malaga1W 5D 4L in last 10
    • 27 OctAlcazar0 – 3MalagaW
    • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
    • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadL
    • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
    • 20 SeptGetafe1 – 0MalagaL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5%
    No48.5%

    Double chance

    1X46.4%
    X253.6%

    Match result

    Real Sociedad II3.1
    Draw3.3
    Malaga2.35

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5% · 1.8
    No48.5% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.57

    X2

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.36

    Real Sociedad II

    Chance30.7%
    Odds3.1

    Draw

    Chance28.8%
    Odds3.3

    Malaga

    Chance40.5%
    Odds2.35

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.3

    Real Sociedad IIMalaga
    Recent form11%89%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence43%57%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall43%57%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División

    Malaga scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Malaga conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Real Sociedad II vs Malaga: prediction & preview

    Spain · Segunda División · Mon, 16 Feb 2026

    Real Sociedad II meet Malaga in the Spain, Segunda División on 16 February 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malaga at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Real Sociedad II vs Malaga FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Real Sociedad II vs Malaga?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 16 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Real Sociedad II vs Malaga?

    Malaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.