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Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa del ReyWed, 4 Mar 2026

Real Sociedad

WDLWW

Wed, 4 Mar 202621:00

1 : 0

Full time

Athletic Club

DWWLW

Pre-match win probability

41%Real Sociedad28.6%Draw30.4%Athletic Club

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 41%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Athletic Club 30.4%

Season statistics

Copa del Rey · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadAthletic Club

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Real Sociedad2.3
Draw3.3
Athletic Club3.1

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Real Sociedad

Chance41%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Athletic Club

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

Real SociedadAthletic Club
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club: prediction & preview

Spain · Copa del Rey · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Real Sociedad meet Athletic Club in the Spain, Copa del Rey on 4 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Sociedad at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club?

Real Sociedad is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club prediction, H2H and stats