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Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 13 Sept 2026

Real Sociedad

WDWLL

Sun, 13 Sept 202620:00

0 : 3

Full time

Atletico Madrid

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

29.5%Real Sociedad25.5%Draw45%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence45%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 29.5%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Atletico Madrid 45%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.2% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X44.4%
X255.6%

Match result

Real Sociedad3.2
Draw3.7
Atletico Madrid2.1

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance44.4%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance55.6%
Odds1.36

Real Sociedad

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

Atletico Madrid

Chance45%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Real Sociedad meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats