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Rennes vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Rennes

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Fri, 11 Sept 202619:45

1 : 0

Full time

Marseille

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Rennes25%Draw29.7%Marseille

Our prediction

Draw · Rennes

Rennes vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rennes 45.3%
  • Draw 25%
  • Marseille 29.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

RennesMarseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X55.6%
X244.4%

Match result

Rennes2.1
Draw3.8
Marseille3.2

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance55.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.4%
Odds1.7

Rennes

Chance45.3%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Marseille

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.8

RennesMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Rennes vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Rennes meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rennes at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rennes vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rennes vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rennes vs Marseille?

Rennes is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rennes vs Marseille prediction, H2H and stats