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Riga FC II vs Mārupe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · 1. LigaSun, 17 May 2026

Riga FC II

6th in table · 33 pts

DDWDW

Sun, 17 May 202611:00

0 : 4

Full time

Mārupe

7th in table · 33 pts

WDWDL

Pre-match win probability

28.3%Riga FC II24.1%Draw47.6%Mārupe

Our prediction

Mārupe

Mārupe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence47.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Riga FC II 28.3%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Mārupe 47.6%

Season statistics

1. Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Riga FC IIMārupe
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.32
Wins
910
Played
2424

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Riga FC II3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctRiga FC II3 – 0Rīgas FS IIW
  • 17 OctSmiltene2 – 2Riga FC IID
  • 11 OctRiga FC II5 – 0Rēzekne FAW
  • 20 SeptMārupe0 – 0Riga FC IID
  • 13 SeptRiga FC II1 – 1Leevon / PPKD
Mārupe3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctMārupe1 – 6Riga MarinersL
  • 18 OctJFK Ventspils0 – 0MārupeD
  • 10 OctRīgas FS II2 – 3MārupeW
  • 20 SeptMārupe0 – 0Riga FC IID
  • 12 SeptMārupe5 – 0Tukums IIW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Riga FC II3.2
Draw3.75
Mārupe1.9

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Riga FC II

Chance28.3%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.75

Mārupe

Chance47.6%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mārupe at 1.9

Riga FC IIMārupe
Recent form56%44%
Attack56%44%
Defence63%37%
Goals model56%44%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · 1. Liga

Riga FC II scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 1. Liga

Riga FC II conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 1. Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · 1. Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Riga FC II vs Mārupe: prediction & preview

Latvia · 1. Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026

Riga FC II meet Mārupe in the Latvia, 1. Liga on 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mārupe at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Riga FC II vs Mārupe FAQs

4 questions

What time is Riga FC II vs Mārupe?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Riga FC II vs Mārupe?

Mārupe is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.