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Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSat, 14 Mar 2026

Riga

LWWDW

Sat, 14 Mar 202615:00

4 : 2

Full time

BFC Daugavpils

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

75.9%Riga15.8%Draw8.3%BFC Daugavpils

Our prediction

Home · Riga

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence75.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Riga 75.9%
  • Draw 15.8%
  • BFC Daugavpils 8.3%

Season statistics

Virsliga · highlighted side is stronger

RigaBFC Daugavpils

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.6% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.6% · 213.4% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X78.6%
X221.4%

Match result

Riga1.2
Draw5.75
BFC Daugavpils11

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance78.6%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance21.4%
Odds3.75

Riga

Chance75.9%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance15.8%
Odds5.75

BFC Daugavpils

Chance8.3%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.2

RigaBFC Daugavpils
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Riga meet BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia, Virsliga on 14 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

4 questions

What time is Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Riga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils prediction, H2H and stats