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Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaMon, 7 Sept 2026

Riga

WLWDD

Mon, 7 Sept 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

BFC Daugavpils

LDWWW

Pre-match win probability

75.5%Riga14.5%Draw10.1%BFC Daugavpils

Our prediction

Home · Riga

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence75.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Riga 75.5%
  • Draw 14.5%
  • BFC Daugavpils 10.1%

Season statistics

Virsliga · highlighted side is stronger

RigaBFC Daugavpils
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Riga0W 0D 0L in last 0
    BFC Daugavpils4W 3D 2L in last 9
    • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsW
    • 19 OctBFC Daugavpils2 – 1AudaW
    • 11 OctOgre United1 – 2BFC DaugavpilsW
    • 19 SeptFK Liepaja0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
    • 13 SeptBFC Daugavpils1 – 2Rīgas FSL
    H2H
    Head to headRiga 6W · 2D · BFC Daugavpils 1W · 2.6 goals a game
    • 25 JunBFC Daugavpils0 – 0Riga
    • 8 MayBFC Daugavpils1 – 3Riga
    • 14 MarRiga4 – 2BFC Daugavpils
    • 29 SeptBFC Daugavpils0 – 1Riga
    • 6 JulRiga1 – 1BFC Daugavpils
    • 14 MayBFC Daugavpils0 – 1Riga

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals0%1.3% · 23
    1.5 goals27.6% · 1.115.1% · 6
    2.5 goals21.9% · 1.411.1% · 2.75
    3.5 goals16% · 1.9117% · 1.8

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X76.2%
    X223.8%

    Match result

    Riga1.2
    Draw6.25
    BFC Daugavpils9

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance76.2%
    Odds1.06

    X2

    Chance23.8%
    Odds3.4

    Riga

    Chance75.5%
    Odds1.2

    Draw

    Chance14.5%
    Odds6.25

    BFC Daugavpils

    Chance10.1%
    Odds9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.2

    RigaBFC Daugavpils
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model45%55%
    Head-to-head78%22%
    Overall88%12%

    Trends

    Trend · Virsliga

    BFC Daugavpils scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Virsliga

    BFC Daugavpils conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Virsliga

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Virsliga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Riga vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction & preview

    Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 7 Sept 2026

    Riga meet BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia, Virsliga on 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Riga vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 7 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

    Riga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 75.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.