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Riga vs Super Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSun, 18 Oct 2026

Riga

2nd in table · 82 pts

WWDDW

Sun, 18 Oct 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Super Nova

6th in table · 38 pts

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

82.9%Riga10.9%Draw6.2%Super Nova

Our prediction

Home · Riga

Riga vs Super Nova listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence82.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Riga 82.9%
  • Draw 10.9%
  • Super Nova 6.2%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

RigaSuper Nova
Goals scored (avg)
1.80.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.2
Wins
2511
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Riga5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 26 OctGrobiņa2 – 5RigaW
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 15 OctRiga1 – 1Kairat AlmatyD
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaW
  • 3 OctAris1 – 2RigaW
Super Nova3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctSuper Nova0 – 3Rīgas FSL
  • 15 OctRīgas FS4 – 0Super NovaL
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaW
  • 20 SeptOgre United1 – 0Super NovaL
  • 15 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1RigaL
H2H
Head to headRiga 8W · 1D · Super Nova 0W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 15 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1Riga
  • 24 MayRiga3 – 0Super Nova
  • 14 AprSuper Nova1 – 4Riga
  • 30 AugSuper Nova2 – 6Riga
  • 22 JunRiga2 – 0Super Nova
  • 1 MaySuper Nova1 – 5Riga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.8% · 13
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
2.5 goals17.6% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
3.5 goals13% · 1.812.2% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

X2100%

Match result

Riga1.12
Draw8.5
Super Nova15

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

X2

Chance100%
Odds6

Riga

Chance82.9%
Odds1.12

Draw

Chance10.9%
Odds8.5

Super Nova

Chance6.2%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.12

RigaSuper Nova
Recent form63%37%
Attack75%25%
Defence54%46%
Goals model75%25%
Head-to-head94%6%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Riga scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Riga conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of those 9.

Riga vs Super Nova: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Riga meet Super Nova in the Latvia, Virsliga on 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.12. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 82.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Riga vs Super Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is Riga vs Super Nova?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Riga vs Super Nova?

Riga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.12. The margin-adjusted share is about 82.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.