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Rio Ave vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 16 Feb 2026

Rio Ave

LLLLW

Mon, 16 Feb 202621:15

1 : 2

Full time

Moreirense

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

28%Rio Ave29.7%Draw42.3%Moreirense

Our prediction

Away · Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rio Ave 28%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Moreirense 42.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rio AveMoreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X44.5%
X255.5%

Match result

Rio Ave3.4
Draw3.2
Moreirense2.25

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

Rio Ave

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Moreirense

Chance42.3%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.25

Rio AveMoreirense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Rio Ave vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Rio Ave meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 February 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moreirense at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rio Ave vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rio Ave vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 16 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rio Ave vs Moreirense?

Moreirense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction, H2H and stats