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River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSun, 23 Aug 2026

River Plate

LWDWW

Sun, 23 Aug 202623:15

2 : 1

Live

Velez Sarsfield

3rd in table · 28 pts

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

55.6%River Plate28.6%Draw15.8%Velez Sarsfield

Our prediction

River Plate

River Plate is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • River Plate 55.6%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Velez Sarsfield 15.8%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

River PlateVelez Sarsfield
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.9
Wins
–7
Played
–16

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

River Plate6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 25 OctRiver Plate1 – 0Racing ClubW
  • 19 OctBelgrano Cordoba0 – 3River PlateW
  • 14 OctSarmiento Junin1 – 1River PlateD
  • 11 OctRiver Plate1 – 0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoW
  • 19 SeptRiver Plate1 – 2HuracanL
Velez Sarsfield4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 26 OctCentral Cordoba de Santiago0 – 5Velez SarsfieldW
  • 18 OctVelez Sarsfield1 – 0Gimnasia M.W
  • 12 OctLanus2 – 0Velez SarsfieldL
  • 5 OctVelez Sarsfield2 – 2PlatenseD
  • 21 SeptVelez Sarsfield3 – 2TigreW
H2H
Head to headRiver Plate 2W · 5D · Velez Sarsfield 2W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 22 FebVelez Sarsfield1 – 0River Plate
  • 16 NovVelez Sarsfield0 – 0River Plate
  • 5 MayRiver Plate4 – 1Velez Sarsfield
  • 19 OctRiver Plate1 – 1Velez Sarsfield
  • 4 FebRiver Plate5 – 0Velez Sarsfield
  • 3 SeptVelez Sarsfield2 – 0River Plate

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X65.2%
X234.8%

Match result

River Plate1.7
Draw3.3
Velez Sarsfield6

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance65.2%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance34.8%
Odds2.1

River Plate

Chance55.6%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Velez Sarsfield

Chance15.8%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: River Plate at 1.7

River PlateVelez Sarsfield
Recent form56%44%
Attack53%47%
Defence50%50%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

River Plate scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

River Plate conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

River Plate meet Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 August 2026 at 23:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is River Plate at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield FAQs

4 questions

What time is River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield?

Kickoff is 23:15 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield?

River Plate is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.