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Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 1 Oct 2026

Sacramento Republic

WDWDD

Thu, 1 Oct 202603:00

3 : 2

Full time

Las Vegas Lights

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

59.5%Sacramento Republic23.5%Draw17%Las Vegas Lights

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights listed tip from the board.

Odds1.08
Confidence59.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sacramento Republic 59.5%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Las Vegas Lights 17%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.4% · 1.912.4% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X70.7%
X229.3%

Match result

Sacramento Republic1.5
Draw3.8
Las Vegas Lights5.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance70.7%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance29.3%
Odds2.6

Sacramento Republic

Chance59.5%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

Las Vegas Lights

Chance17%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.08

Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Sacramento Republic meet Las Vegas Lights in the USA, USL Championship on 1 October 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sacramento Republic at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

Sacramento Republic is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights prediction, H2H and stats