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Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 5 Apr 2026

Sacramento Republic

Sun, 5 Apr 202603:00

2 : 0

Full time

Phoenix Rising

Pre-match win probability

54%Sacramento Republic24.8%Draw21.2%Phoenix Rising

Our prediction

Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sacramento Republic 54%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Phoenix Rising 21.2%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X62.1%
X237.9%

Match result

Sacramento Republic1.7
Draw3.7
Phoenix Rising4.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.9%
Odds2

Sacramento Republic

Chance54%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.7

Phoenix Rising

Chance21.2%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sacramento Republic at 1.7

Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Sacramento Republic meet Phoenix Rising in the USA, USL Championship on 5 April 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sacramento Republic at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?

Sacramento Republic is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising prediction, H2H and stats