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Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 23 Aug 2026

Sacramento Republic

WDLWW

Sun, 23 Aug 202604:00

2 : 2

Full time

Phoenix Rising

WLDDW

Pre-match win probability

50.8%Sacramento Republic25.4%Draw23.7%Phoenix Rising

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence50.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sacramento Republic 50.8%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Phoenix Rising 23.7%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Sacramento Republic1.75
Draw3.5
Phoenix Rising3.75

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Sacramento Republic

Chance50.8%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.5

Phoenix Rising

Chance23.7%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.25

Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Sacramento Republic meet Phoenix Rising in the USA, USL Championship on 23 August 2026 at 04:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sacramento Republic at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?

Kickoff is 04:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?

Sacramento Republic is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising prediction, H2H and stats