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Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSat, 16 May 2026

Sagan Tosu

3rd in table · 32 pts

WWLWL

Sat, 16 May 202606:00

1 : 1

Full time

Renofa Yamaguchi

4th in table · 29 pts

Pre-match win probability

47%Sagan Tosu27.5%Draw25.5%Renofa Yamaguchi

Our prediction

Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sagan Tosu 47%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Renofa Yamaguchi 25.5%

Season statistics

J2 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sagan TosuRenofa Yamaguchi
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–
Wins
87
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sagan Tosu5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 28 OctSagan Tosu0 – 2Kawasaki FrontaleL
  • 25 OctSagan Tosu2 – 0Vanraure HachinoheW
  • 21 OctAlbirex Niigata2 – 1Sagan TosuL
  • 17 OctSagan Tosu2 – 1Omiya ArdijaW
  • 14 OctSagan Tosu2 – 1Avispa FukuokaW
Renofa Yamaguchi0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
    1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
    2.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4%
    No53.6%

    Double chance

    1X59.6%
    X240.4%

    Match result

    Sagan Tosu1.9
    Draw3.25
    Renofa Yamaguchi3.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4% · 2
    No53.6% · 1.73

    1X

    Chance59.6%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance40.4%
    Odds1.8

    Sagan Tosu

    Chance47%
    Odds1.9

    Draw

    Chance27.5%
    Odds3.25

    Renofa Yamaguchi

    Chance25.5%
    Odds3.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Sagan Tosu at 1.9

    Sagan TosuRenofa Yamaguchi
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall65%35%

    Trends

    Trend · J2 League

    Sagan Tosu scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · J2 League

    Sagan Tosu conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · J2 League

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · J2 League

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction & preview

    Japan · J2 League · Sat, 16 May 2026

    Sagan Tosu meet Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan, J2 League on 16 May 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sagan Tosu at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

    Kickoff is 06:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

    Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.