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Sámano vs Guarnizo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Sámano

7th in table · 13 pts

Sun, 20 Sept 202617:00

4 : 1

Full time

Guarnizo

11th in table · 8 pts

WDDLW

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Sámano27.6%Draw33.3%Guarnizo

Our prediction

Sámano

Sámano is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sámano 39.1%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Guarnizo 33.3%

Season statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · highlighted side is stronger

SámanoGuarnizo
Goals scored (avg)
–1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.4
Wins
32
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sámano0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Guarnizo2W 3D 4L in last 9
    • 25 OctGuarnizo1 – 0SelayaW
    • 17 OctLaredo4 – 2GuarnizoL
    • 10 OctGuarnizo1 – 1BezanaD
    • 3 OctTorina1 – 1GuarnizoD
    • 26 SeptGuarnizo3 – 1VelardeW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

    Double chance

    1X52.4%
    X247.6%

    Match result

    Sámano2.3
    Draw3.25
    Guarnizo2.7

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance52.4%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance47.6%
    Odds1.5

    Sámano

    Chance39.1%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance27.6%
    Odds3.25

    Guarnizo

    Chance33.3%
    Odds2.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Sámano at 2.3

    SámanoGuarnizo
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence38%62%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall54%46%

    Trends

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

    Guarnizo scored 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

    Guarnizo conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Sámano vs Guarnizo: prediction & preview

    Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

    Sámano meet Guarnizo in the Spain, Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 on 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sámano at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sámano vs Guarnizo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sámano vs Guarnizo?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sámano vs Guarnizo?

    Sámano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.