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Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Georgia · Erovnuli LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026

Samgurali

LLLWL

Sun, 11 Oct 202612:30

3 : 0

Full time

Gagra

DLDLW

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Samgurali26.3%Draw28.9%Gagra

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Samgurali

Samgurali vs Gagra listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Samgurali 44.8%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Gagra 28.9%

Season statistics

Erovnuli Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SamguraliGagra
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Samgurali2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 24 OctDinamo Batumi3 – 0SamguraliL
  • 17 OctSamgurali2 – 0MeshakhteW
  • 19 SeptSamgurali2 – 3Dinamo TbilisiL
  • 14 SeptTorpedo Kutaisi3 – 2SamguraliL
  • 9 SeptSamgurali1 – 3DilaL
Gagra0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

    Double chance

    1X56.6%
    X243.4%

    Match result

    Samgurali2
    Draw3.4
    Gagra3.1

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance56.6%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance43.4%
    Odds1.67

    Samgurali

    Chance44.8%
    Odds2

    Draw

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.4

    Gagra

    Chance28.9%
    Odds3.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

    SamguraliGagra
    Recent form88%12%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence44%56%
    Goals model62%38%
    Overall61%39%

    Trends

    Trend · Erovnuli Liga

    Samgurali scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Erovnuli Liga

    Samgurali conceded 2.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Erovnuli Liga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Erovnuli Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Samgurali vs Gagra: prediction & preview

    Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    Samgurali meet Gagra in the Georgia, Erovnuli Liga on 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Samgurali at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Samgurali vs Gagra FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Samgurali vs Gagra?

    Kickoff is 12:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Samgurali vs Gagra?

    Samgurali is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

    Samgurali vs Gagra prediction, H2H and stats