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Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Calcio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie D - Girone FSun, 4 Jan 2026

Sammaurese

Sun, 4 Jan 202614:30

3 : 1

Full time

Castelfidardo Calcio

Pre-match win probability

25.8%Sammaurese27.8%Draw46.4%Castelfidardo Calcio

Our prediction

Castelfidardo Calcio

Castelfidardo Calcio is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sammaurese 25.8%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Castelfidardo Calcio 46.4%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone F · highlighted side is stronger

SammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals44.7% · 2.155.3% · 1.7

Double chance

1X41.8%
X258.2%

Match result

Sammaurese3.5
Draw3.25
Castelfidardo Calcio1.95

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance41.8%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance58.2%
Odds1.22

Sammaurese

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.25

Castelfidardo Calcio

Chance46.4%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Castelfidardo Calcio at 1.95

SammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Calcio: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie D - Girone F · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Sammaurese meet Castelfidardo Calcio in the Italy, Serie D - Girone F on 4 January 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castelfidardo Calcio at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Calcio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Calcio?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Calcio?

Castelfidardo Calcio is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Calcio prediction, H2H and stats