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Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Carioca - 1Thu, 15 Jan 2026

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Thu, 15 Jan 202621:00

1 : 3

Full time

Nova Iguaçu

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Sampaio Corrêa RJ36.3%Draw29.5%Nova Iguaçu

Our prediction

Draw

Draw is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sampaio Corrêa RJ 34.3%
  • Draw 36.3%
  • Nova Iguaçu 29.5%

Season statistics

Carioca - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Sampaio Corrêa RJNova Iguaçu

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.1% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals9% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Sampaio Corrêa RJ2.75
Draw2.6
Nova Iguaçu3.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.4

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Chance34.3%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance36.3%
Odds2.6

Nova Iguaçu

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 2.6

Sampaio Corrêa RJNova Iguaçu
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu: prediction & preview

Brazil · Carioca - 1 · Thu, 15 Jan 2026

Sampaio Corrêa RJ meet Nova Iguaçu in the Brazil, Carioca - 1 on 15 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Draw at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 15 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?

Draw is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu prediction, H2H and stats