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San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSat, 2 May 2026

San Lorenzo

Sat, 2 May 202622:45

1 : 2

Live

Independiente

Pre-match win probability

27.3%San Lorenzo35.3%Draw37.4%Independiente

Our prediction

Independiente

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • San Lorenzo 27.3%
  • Draw 35.3%
  • Independiente 37.4%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

San LorenzoIndependiente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

San Lorenzo3.5
Draw2.7
Independiente2.55

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.36

San Lorenzo

Chance27.3%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance35.3%
Odds2.7

Independiente

Chance37.4%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente at 2.55

San LorenzoIndependiente
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

San Lorenzo vs Independiente: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 2 May 2026

San Lorenzo meet Independiente in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 2 May 2026 at 22:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

San Lorenzo vs Independiente FAQs

4 questions

What time is San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

Kickoff is 22:45 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

San Lorenzo vs Independiente prediction, H2H and stats